EB

Priority Date Tracker

Change to see updated projections for any priority date.

Current FADi

Jul 15, 2014

Gapi

2 yrs 1 mo

Current DoFi

Jan 15, 2015

Your Projection

Aug 1, 2016Best Case

Filing Date (DoF)

Oct 7, 2027

P50 estimate

80% range: Apr 29, 2027 - Sep 14, 2028

Final Action Date

Sep 11, 2028

P50 estimate

80% range: Oct 2, 2027 - Sep 17, 2029

GC Receipt Est.

Dec 12, 2029

P50 estimate

80% range: Jan 1, 2029 - Dec 18, 2030

Time to FAD

2 yrs 4 mo

Best case median

80% range: 1 yr 5 mo - 3 yrs 4 mo

80% Confidence Timeline

Filing Date (DoF)

Apr 29, 202780% confidenceSep 14, 2028

Final Action Date (FAD)

Oct 2, 202780% confidenceSep 17, 2029

GC Receipt Estimate

Jan 1, 202980% confidenceDec 18, 2030
Possible range (80%)
Most likely date (median)

Best case uses the optimistic scenario with high spillover (~70k+ extra EB visas in FY2027), ban through 2029, and low wastage. See Scenarios tab for the full range.

MAE: ยฑ4.3 mo80% hit: 33%Retrogression risk: 100%

Scenario Range โ€” All Outcomes

Optimistic

Sep 11, 2028

FAD

Oct 7, 2027

DoF (file I-485)

10โ€“15% probability

Base CaseBase

Sep 10, 2030

FAD

Sep 14, 2029

DoF (file I-485)

35% probability

Conservative

Mar 25, 2034

FAD

Sep 21, 2032

DoF (file I-485)

35% probability

Pessimistic

Sep 15, 2039

FAD

Feb 12, 2037

DoF (file I-485)

15โ€“20% probability

EB-2 India priority date movement

Source: DOS Visa Bulletin ยท Click any point to view its official bulletin

Final Action DateDates for FilingPD Aug '16Oct '25 to Apr '26

History Range

Showing Oct '22 to May '26 ยท 44 bulletins

Oct '22Apr '23Oct '23Apr '24Oct '24Apr '25Oct '25May '26201120122013201420152016

Selected Bulletin

May 2026

Latest

Click any point to open that month's official visa bulletin.

FAD

Jul 15, 2014

DoF

Jan 15, 2015

Status vs your PD

2 yrs 1 mo behind your priority date

DoF lead: 6 mo

Queue Depth by Priority Date Year

I-485 inventory I-140 (scaled)

Pending applications the FAD must clear through each year. Your PD year highlighted.

20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202409k17k26k34kFADYour PD

Source: USCIS I-485 Pending Inventory (Oct 2025) ยท I-140 Performance Data (FY2025 Q3)

Recent Pace

No change in May 2026

Latest bulletin was unchanged. +15.4 PD-months total across the last 6 moves.

Pending Inventory

28,080 I-485s

USCIS Oct 2025 filed I-485 inventory used by the demand model. This does not include future demand that has not yet reached the filing stage.

Key Risk

Retrogression possible

May 2026 bulletin notes that retrogression may be necessary later in the fiscal year.